Closing Weekend at Saratoga with Picks and Analysis in Friday’s Turf Races
The final weekend of the Saratoga meet concludes Monday, September 5 on Labor Day. Friday’s card is not too enticing, but let’s look at a pair of 5 ½ furlong turf sprints in the sixth and eighth race.
Friday, September 2
#2 Bellavais (8-1) is a well-bred Tapit colt making his debut in Race No. 6. He’s also a half to Grade I winner Winter Memories. Bellavais is working super strong for trainer James Toner with a solid pattern over the track that includes five furlongs in 59.98 and three furlongs in 36.85 in his final tune-up August 28. Wide open with full field, consider at 8-1 with Franco aboard.
#7 Black Canary is the favorite at 2-1 and also training super for Mark Casse and is well meant against a mediocre group. Black Canary is by War Front, a top early win sire. In early August he breezed three furlongs in 36.56 and his final tune-up was four furlongs in 48.58.
#9 K J Warrior (4-1) is debuting for trainer Steve Asmussen, but drills have been slow. #3 Take a Stroll (12-1) is a half to turf winner Son of Oahu and should take to the turf quite nicely. The fillies last work was 8/19 going five furlongs in 102.80; the fourth best of 37 that day. #4 Orecchiette (7/2) has slow works but a good combo with trainer Todd Pletcher and rider Javier Castellano. Include. #8 Foreign Affair (8-1) probably better at longer.
Race No. 8 is a $25,000 claimer also at 5 ½ furlongs on the turf. A full field of 12 #3 Goodbye Sorrow (3-1) was a game second last time out and has also strung four races together telling us she’s healthy, and now facing the worst group she’s ever lined up against. She’ll get to the lead at the quarter pole with few late threats. The one to beat. #6 Sunrise Kitty (7-2) is also stringing four races together, and was third behind Goodbye Sorrow last time out and is versatile. She’ll likely sit just off the flank of the top pick throughout, easy to find a win down the lane here. #8 Two Pump (4-1) drops in class and rallied gamely late two back for trainer David Jacobson and now switches surface. She will benefit if the pace heats up.